Election 2024
Explore Â鶹´«Ã½AV's research.
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Republicans say they are optimistic, relieved and excited about Donald Trump's reelection, while Democrats say they are afraid, angry and devastated.
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Throughout 2024, Â鶹´«Ã½AV's key indicators signaled the election environment was favorable to Republicans.
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The economy tops the list of issues that voters say will determine which candidate they support for president.
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Follow the underlying metrics and trends influencing the race for the White House in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
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Although early voting is likely to be down from 2020, over half of U.S. registered voters plan to vote before Election Day this year.
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Americans are unhappy with the status quo in key areas of U.S. leadership, suggesting this should be a "change" election. Yet Kamala Harris edges out Donald Trump in favorability.
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More Americans are concerned that Donald Trump is too closely aligned with people holding radical political views than are concerned Kamala Harris is.
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Majorities of Americans favor election law policies that expand voters' access to the ballot box and limit election fraud.
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Donald Trump's and Kamala Harris' favorability scores on a 10-point scale are in the lower range for presidential candidates dating back to 1956.
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The slight majority of Americans say they are worse off than four years ago, while their assessments of the U.S. economy are subpar and inflation remains a key concern.
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Harris' job approval rating surpasses Biden's, including among Democrats and independents. Only 16% of U.S. adults approve of Congress' job.
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Four in 10 U.S. voters plan to vote before Election Day, evenly split between those who intend to vote in person and those voting by mail.
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Harris is rated better than Trump on certain character aspects, including likability, while Trump leads on dimensions of leadership strength.
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Healthcare retains its place as one of the higher-ranking issues voters say are influencing their vote this year.
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U.S. voters rate the economy as the most important issue to their presidential vote, with democracy, potential Supreme Court picks and terrorism/national security also ranking highly.
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Less than half of voters rate Tim Walz and JD Vance as excellent or good vice presidential choices, similar to recent nominees but subpar historically.
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The election trust gap evident in 2016 and 2020 is markedly wider in 2024 as Republicans' faith in the accuracy of the vote has plunged to a new low.
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Most key measures of the political environment for the 2024 election favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party.
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Eight in 10 Americans, a new high, perceive the U.S. as being greatly divided on the most important values.
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Both presidential candidates continue to be viewed unfavorably by majorities of Americans, similar to patterns in the 2016 and 2020 elections.